arbon dioxide emissions in the United States from
burning fossil fuels rose by 1.0 percent in 1999, increasing
from 1,495 million metric tons of carbon (MMTC) in 1998 to 1,511
MMTC in 1999, according to preliminary estimates released today
by the Energy Information Administration (EIA). While the 1999
growth rate of 1.0 percent was slightly below the average annual
growth rate of 1.2 percent observed from 1990 to 1999, it was
higher than the 1998 growth rate of 0.1 percent. Carbon dioxide
emissions account for over 80 percent of US greenhouse gas emissions
and are a good early indicator of the level of, and rate of change
in, total US greenhouse gas emissions.
On a
sector level, transportation-related carbon dioxide emissions,
which account for about a third of total carbon dioxide emissions,
increased by 2.9 percent in 1999 as a healthy economy encouraged
travel and the delivery of goods. Carbon dioxide emissions in
the residential and commercial sectors, meanwhile, increased
by 0.4 percent and declined by 0.4 percent, respectively. Despite
rapid growth of the economy, energy-related industrial carbon
dioxide emissions in 1999 increased by only 0.2 percent. A preliminary
qualitative analysis of underlying economic trends indicates
that this small increase may be due to below normal growth in
the energy-intensive industries.
A preliminary
EIA analysis also reveals that total US carbon dioxide emissions
could have been up to 29 MMTC higher had normal weather and non-fossil
fuel generation patterns existed in 1999. Higher carbon dioxide
emissions (+3 MMTC) due to increased electricity consumption
during the hotter-than-normal summer were more than offset by
reduced carbon dioxide emissions (- 15 MMTC) from a warmer-than-normal
winter that lowered the consumption of heating fuels. Overall,
the warmer-than-normal weather meant that carbon dioxide emissions
were reduced by about 12 MMTC. Also, record nuclear power generation
(-12 MMTC) and above-average hydroelectric power generation (-5
MMTC) reduced carbon dioxide emissions by 17 MMTC due to the
displacement of fossil fuel power generation.
The EIA will
continue to refine its estimates of 1999 carbon dioxide emissions
as more complete energy data become available. A full inventory
of 1999 emissions of all greenhouse gases will be available in
October from EIA using revised energy data and providing a further
analysis of trends.
The preliminary
estimates are on EIA's web site at: www.eia.doe.gov/oiaf/1605/flash/flash99june30final_files/frame.htm.
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